It’s exactly one more day before the 82nd Academy Awards ceremony. This is probably the year with the most number of mainstream films nominated and histories made. Also, the most hormonal year in terms of awards distribution. Let me break down for you my Oscars prediction this 2010, and what these significant histories are on Year 82.


The 82nd Annual Academy Awards Ceremony

LIVE Telecast on Velvet Ch. 53 (Manila) starting 6:30 AM


This is THE OSCARS: Would win, Should win.



Would win: The Hurt Locker

Should win: The Hurt Locker

To watch out for: Inglorious Basterd

Intensity. Authenticity. Madness. Undeniably the most awarded film of 2009. From the film festivals to critic awards to the BAFTAs- as the Brits honored this as the Best Film of 2009- to the Directors Guild Awards with an achievement for Kathryn Bigelow. The Hurt Locker would make history as the Best Picture winner with the worst performance at the Box Office. Two of its rivals already made history as Avatar has beaten Titanic from its glorious seat as the biggest-selling film of all-time, while The Blind Side made history as the higest-grossing film with a female lead (Sandra Bullock).

To watch out for- Inglorios Basterds. After winning the Screen Actors Guild’s most coveted award, Outstanding Cast in a Motion Picture, producers of the film had been serious with pimpin’ the film to the Academy and for it to come up with a Picture-Director split wins.



Kathryn Bigelow on location in Iraq for The Hurt Locker

Would win: Kathryn Bigelow (The Hurt Locker)

Should win: Kathryn Bigelow (The Hurt Locker)

To watch out for: No one

This year, history shall be made. The first female director to win an Oscar for Achievement in Directing has been born. She has the Directors Guild to brag and her biggest work (The Hurt Locker) to back her up. She must’ve lost to James Cameron at the Golden Globes, one of the major award-giving bodies, but it’s not a threat to her success at the Academy as she already had been honored by the British people as the BAFTA Awards Best Director and her film as Best Film of the year.



Would win: Jeff Bridges (Crazy Heart)

Should Win: Jeremy Renner (The Hurt Locker)

To watch out for: No one

The underrated version of Kate Winslet. Yes. With four nominations under his name, Jeff Bridges finally won the hearts of the Academy and the viewers with his country singing talent and then some- one of which, the drama. He is going to win not because he sang, but because the Oscars would probably think- it’s about time. I haven’t seen either Crazy Heart or A Single Man. I am purely basing it on the articles made by Oscar crazies and on his achievements so far.

If I were to base it on the intensity of the acting, yes I’m using the word intensity, I’d say it’s Jeremy Renner. The reason why he’s not going to win though is that he’s a newcomer with not much credentials to back him up. Considering that he’s up against a former nominee and two former winners (George Clooney and Morgan Freeman).



Would win: Sandra Bullock (The Blind Side)

Should win: Carey Mulligan (An Education)

To watch out for: Meryl Streep (Julie & Julia)

It’s the second coming of Julia Roberts. Or not quite. Sandra Bullock, on a role originally designed for former Oscar winner Julia Roberts, may not be here ever again. And that is why the Academy is gonna give her the Oscar. Yes, they would want a winner whose known all over the world to carry the Oscar with her, as they are already gonna give the other one to Jeff Bridges, who is not as popular as other Lead Actor winners like Sean Penn and Jack Nicholson. What I am saying is, every year, as I notice it, there has to be a mainstream name wining an Oscar, and this year, it’s your favorite chick-flick/comedy/romance film queen. Give it to Sandra. I have seen The Blind Side, and trust me, she deserves it.

Carey Mulligan, with all the emotion in her eyes, should win the Oscar for playing a 16-year-old chain-smoking dream student who fell in love with a crook twice her age. As I was talking to a good friend the other day, no actress can possible do what Mulligan did and how she did it in this very film. The reason why she isn’t winning because she’s new and, as Renner, with not much credentials to back her up.

Living legend, the screen queen, Meryl Streep is who we are all to watch out for. With the most number of Oscar nominations in history, with only two Oscar wins- the last being in 1982 for Sophie’s Choice, she might just be given her thirs after 28 years. If she would win for playing Julia Child, by all means, give the Oscar to the one and only.



Would win: Christoph Waltz (Inglorious Basterds)

Should win: Christoph Waltz (Inglorious Basterds)

To watch out for: No one

Known for giving the weirdest acceptance speeches, Christoph Waltz might just win the Oscar because the Academy would want to hear what he has to say about them. Seriously though, Austrian actor Waltz, in his gig with Quentin Tarantino and Harvey Weinstein, gave the most powerful performance of an actor in the past year, and in an ensemble cast- which could be the reason why he’s being recognized so much. In a film of many names and faces- with small, equal roles (or not)- for you to rise above the others is an achievement in itself. The mixture of cruelty and comedy, Waltz gave life to a known Jew hunter, Col. Hans Landa in this film. Christoph Waltz, by the way, is the most awarded actor this year and in the past 10 years in the category.



Would win: Mo’Nique (Precious: Based On The Novel Push By Sapphire)

Should win: Vera Farmiga (Up In The Air)

To watch out for: Maggie Gyllenhaal (Crazy Heart)

This has got to be the most rigid yet exciting category this year. Mo’Nique is the counterpart of Waltz. With her winning left and right for playing the abusive mother to an illiterate black girl is rigid and uninspiring. She’s all over the place, she’s too much out there, she’s in the biggest Oscar bait of the decade- Precious. Let’s face it, Mo’Nique is killing the excitement. Leave it to Christoph Waltz. Let him be the expected and anticipated winner, after all, he deserves it big time. What I’m saying is, give the Oscar to someone else.

The amazing Vera Farmiga. The Oscars is somehwat known for awarding the subtle actresses, the effortless, quiet ones- with exception to Jennifer Hudson (Dreamgirls, 2007), she was too much and too heavy, but she was singing, she was doing more than what a normal actress does. And for another black girl who’s in the hardest state of life- that how they always portray themselves anyway, the minority, the abused- it doesn’t seem exciting at all. Resolution: Give the Oscar to Vera Farmiga. The softest of her voice, the expression in her eyes, and the mystery in her being introduced fictional character Alex Goran to the world of film fans.

To watch out for: Maggie Gyllenhaal. She’s not been nominated in any, I say any, award-giving body this year for this film. There are speculations why the Academy decided to choose her over Julianne Moore (A Single Man) for the category. First, they owe her a nomination. After an acclaimed performance in Secretary and being snubbed, this is their way of paying her back. Second, this may just be me, but the way I see it, they need someone to support what could be Jeff Bridges’ first Oscar win. Look. This may just be the second coming of the actress known as Marcia Gay Harden. With no major win in 2002 and no nomination at the Golden Globe and SAGs, she won over everyone else for the film Pollock.


My other OSCARS should go to:

Best Original Screenplay: Quentin Tarantino (Inglorious Basterds)

Best Adapted Screenplay: Jason Reitman & Sheldon Turner (Up In The Air)

Best Animated Feature: Up

Best Original Score: Avatar

Best Original Song: “The Weary Kind” from Crazy Heart

Best Art Direction: Avatar

Best Cinematography: The Hurt Locker

Best Costume Design: The Young Victoria




~ by ardenkhan on 07/03/2010.

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